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tosemja


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Menova politika (Old article)
Posted 11 years ago by
tosemja    
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Vazeni obcania,

kongres sa rozhodol, ze nie je potrebne tlacit SKK, lebo ved ich je na trhu dost.

Sice su na cene 0.0205g za 1 SKK, co je dlhodobo hranica na ktorej Slovakia Org intervenoval, ale to zjavne nie je dovod pre kongres.

SKK bola (a poslednym rozhodnutim kompngresu uz nie je) fixovana mena, teda vymenny kurz bol garnatovany vo velmi uzkom vymennom pasme. Vyhoda fixneho kurzu s nizkym nominalom (malo zlata za 1 SKK) je v tom, ze ked sa na trhu menia ceny, tak nas trh dokaze spravit mensiu zmenu ako dokaze spravit trh okolitych krajin. Minimalna zmena je 0.01 SKK co je menej ako je minimalna zmena v PL teda 0.01 PLN.

Ak uvolnim kurz, tak o tuto vyhodu prideme, navyse nas to ako stat bude stat viacej, lebo sme v minulosti predali SKK ovela drahsie.

Preco sa zhodnocuje mena?

Lebo spekulanti, tento krat sa pozeram najma na domacich hracov a zopar z nich vidim hlasovat proti navrhu vytlacit SKK. Zhodnotenie meny nema ziaden iny ekonomicky zaklad. Len par hracov sa nejakym cinom dostalo k dostatocnemu mnozstvu zlata a zacali sa hrat na centralnu banku na miesto statu.

Ja osobne si nemyslim, ze stat ma menit politiku kvoli niekolkym hracom a ich sukromnym zaujmom.

Hoci to znie zvlastne, tak medzi tym, ci sa predava cena za 0.0205 alebo 0.0204 vidim velky rozdiel. Dlhodobo na cene 0.0205 predavame SKK zo statu, aby sme cenu SKK dostali spat do pasma. Na druhej strane vykupujeme za 50.8 az 51.0 ... sucasna taktika niektorych nasich spekulantov stoji na tom, z daju ponuku na 0.0205 a cakaju kym sa vypredaju SKK zo statu a potom mozu predavat oni. Toto im nebude fungovat, len ak bude ponuka SKK zo statu naozaj nekonecna a casom sa im nakopi take mnozstvo SKK, ze budu musiet ist s cenou nizsie.

Ak im ustupime na 0.0206, tak to iste budu robit na cene 0.0206 bars aj 1.0, lebo na tom zarabaju. Preto mame na vyber dve moznosti bud dalej tlacit SKK a prinutit ich zmenit cenu alebo ustupit a prestat riadit menu.

To vsak znamena, ze zhodnotenie SKK uz nebude kryte zlatom (lebo nemame tolko zlata, aby sme vykupili SKK za vyssiu cenu) a nevidim dovod preco by som mal niekomu kryt zadok ani na druhej strane ...

Summa summarum ak si kongresove sily myslia, ze treba pustit kurz do svojho zivota a nieco sa stane, tak nech zotrvaju vo svojom rozhodnuti, je sice pravda, ze tym pripravili stat o stovky goldov z dovodu zmeny kurzu a rovnako ich upozornujem, ze znovu zafixovat kurz uz bude ovela drahsie, az by som povedal, ze na to uz znova nebudeme mat peniaze ... veci sa daju dodrbat len raz a potom to uz nezlepite.
Pokial predsa len verite, ze som sa este nezblaznil a ze dovodom na vytlacenie SKK nie je snaha o hyperinflaciu ale len cisto udrzat bars aj domacich spekulantov na uzde, tak treba tlacit SKK az kym ONI cenu nestlacia nizsie.

Nie som clenom kongresu, takze nemam ako inak ovplyvnit dianie ... a pokial je rozhodnutie pustit fixaciu (a nevytlacit SKK pre predaj na cene za 0.0205 je zrusenie fixacie nech si niekto hovori o ponuke na MM vo vyske 31K co chce), tak uz nie som ani clenom vlady. Navyse som na dovolenke, takze komenty viem zodpovedat len s velkym casovym odstupom.

Prajem prijemne rozhodovanie sa, zajtra vecer si pozriem kam sme dospeli.

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Menova politika II (11 years ago)

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