Esim - RANDOM ITEMS ARE NOT SO RANDOM
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Paronimus


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RANDOM ITEMS ARE NOT SO RANDOM (Military)
Posted 10 years ago by
Paronimus    
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You guys, have enjoyed the past Tournament, have fought a lot and spent your golds to lead your team to glory. Most of you have fought for the equipments, which are supposed to have better statistics than the common ones.

Have you noticed that frequently the same guy receives more than one Q5 in the same battle? That's suspicious... For example, pay attention to this


http://primera.e-sim.org/battleDrops.html?id=10659


Yes, you see well, this player has obtained 3 of 3 Q5's of the battle. Well, you can argue that he fought many more times than the other BH's and things like that to convince yourself that everything is fully random.

In this battle there are a total of 6397 hits done by the players who won a BH. If we know the number of hits done by each guy, we can estimate the probabilities of winning a Q5:



The three guys with the highest probability are marked.

Well, you see that it's possible for infinity91 to win a Q5. Until now everything is fine. But, which is the probability of receiving 3 of the 3 Q5s? In 10000 repetitions, such event will occur 4 times!!

Now... let's assume that this player has been very fortunate. Now, look at this


http://primera.e-sim.org/battleDrops.html?id=10657



http://primera.e-sim.org/battleDrops.html?id=10654



http://secura.e-sim.org/battleDrops.html?id=7338


You are able to to say, well, there are 4 Q5s, and if the fortunate player has fought hard enough, it is possible to win 2 Q5's in the same battle. Ok. Let's go on



http://primera.e-sim.org/battleDrops.html?id=10658



http://primera.e-sim.org/battleDrops.html?id=10652



http://secura.e-sim.org/battleDrops.html?id=7340



http://secura.e-sim.org/battleDrops.html?id=7336



http://suna.e-sim.org/battleDrops.html?id=712




http://suna.e-sim.org/battleDrops.html?id=713


Those improbable events have happened in the past Tournament in three different servers. Well, you can think that all of them are the result of an extremely happy coincidence but, seriously... you can calculate the probability of this to happen... and it tends to zero...Maybe you have more chance to win the lottery!!!

At this point does anybody believe that the drops are randomly distributed? It appears that something doesn't work properly in the system of distribution of items.


BONUSTRACK:



http://primera.e-sim.org/battleDrops.html?id=9216



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'This article was possible with the idea of failnuel , the work of Paronimus and the help of the 619, who make lulz from random


o619


Next article:
Q6 EQUIPS LOL!! (10 years ago)

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