Esim - Aam Aadmi Party doesn't need 272 seats to win India, JUST 3
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Aam Aadmi Party doesn't need 272 seats to win India, JUST 3 (Political)
Posted 10 years ago by
Ravichandarana    
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The Arvind Kejriwal-led Aam Aadmi Party (Aap), which made an impressive foray into the electoral politics with spectacular performance in the last year's Delhi Assembly elections, is ready to fight a war with Congress and the Bharaiya Janata Party (Bjp).

In this war, there are two strong goliath armies. On the one side, there is Congress, with its scheming empress Sonia Gandhi and weak heir Rahul Gandhi who is trying hard to look bulked-up. There is no second line here - no regional commanders, only foot-soldiers on low pay.

And on the other side is the chieftain of the moment, Narendra Modi with his strong regional satraps going along for the ride to victory.

In this battle strides, there is a little David, with no money and no resources.

What is David's best option?

If Rahul and Sonia were knocked off their perches, the Congress will quickly collapse. And if Modi was to lose his Varanasi seat even after winning his Gujarat seat, the pack of wolves in the BJP will themselves send him back, tail between legs, to Gujarat.

So what's the most efficient use of David's meager resources?

I would say it is to take Rahul, Sonia and Modi head on and defeat them.

Three seats. That's all.

The AAP wouldn't come to power. It would win a few more, perhaps even 50 or 100 more.

But within months or a year, what is left of the Congress in Parliament and what is left of the BJP in Parliament will be sure to self-destruct and the country will go to the polls again, mid-term.

And this may be 2014 or 2015 or 2016 or even 2019, but that is when the AAP can actually make a stronger effort to come to power. And break the see-saw duopoly of the UPA and the NDA that they believe plagues the country.

Let's see what they have done so far. They have put up a strong guy against Rahul Gandhi, and he seems to be doing well in Amethi. An upset may well be possible there. Kejriwal set himself up against Modi. With this master stroke, he wants to tell the world that he was no less than the Gujarat Chief Minister in leadership potential. And who knows what can happen there. I personally wouldn't bet against Kejriwal here.

Shazia Ilmi said no to the AAP for going up against Sonia, not sure if they (AAP) will field someone else to take on the Congress president in Rai Bareli, but it will be an amazing win to take on and defeat Sonia too.

But it might not be 3 on 3. But even 2 on 3 is good enough for the Gandhi dynasty to end in the Congress and the Modi raj to end in the BJP.

Now, it is too complex to tell the voter - don't worry, there will be mid-term polls and we are happy to come to power. So, the AAP positioning will be one of strength, one of toppling the twin demons right now.

But my point is just this - it doesn't matter if the AAP gets 5 or 55 or 105 seats in the Lok Sabha.

If it wins Amethi and Varanasi - it will have pretty much set India to the path of repeal of the twin demons. And if it can pull off Rae Bareilly too, then it's a comprehensive rout.

But let us see what happens. All this is theorizing.

Previous article:
Why the rise of Narendra Modi may be good for Indian politics (10 years ago)

Next article:
Aam Aadmi Party: A Milestone in Indian Politics (10 years ago)

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